Jay Lund has research and teaching
interests in the application of systems analysis, economic, and
management methods to infrastructure and public works problems.
His recent work is primarily in water resources and environmental
system engineering, but with substantial work in solid and
hazardous waste management, dredging and coastal zone management,
and some dabbling in urban, regional, and transportation planning.
While most of this work involves the application of economics,
optimization, and simulation modeling, his interests also include
more qualitative policy, planning, and management studies.
Examples of this work can be found below.
PhD Nadya Sanchez -
Irrigation efficiency and water management Yiping "Gracie" Yao - Optimization of groundwater
restoration with uncertain hydrology and climate change Matthew Bates - Multi-objective analysis of water and
sediment resource management Ann Willis - Stream restoration management Ellie White - Machine learning applications for water
management
Francisco Bellido Leiva - Environmental water management
Kathy Schaefer - Flood insurance and risk management
Large-Scale Water - Environmental
System Management
Large-scale regional water systems
provide much of the world's water supply, flood control, and
hydropower, and have major effects on the environment and
recreation. Research in this area has involved several studies in
large-scale optimization for water supply, flood control, and
conflict resolution among multiple purposes. Both practical
and theoretical aspects of this problem are of interest.
Combining theory with applied policy is especially
interesting. Examples include:
Managing
California's
Water: from Conflict to Reconciliation, an
effort by a group of economists, engineers, lawyers,
biologists, and geologists to set out a more productive course
for managing water in California and the western US. Available
in pdf
format from PPIC (free) or through Amazon
(e-reader, $10, and paperback, $35)
Economically-driven simulation of California's Friant-Kern
System, using MODSIM software (FREDSIM)
Reservoir operating rules from long-term deterministic
optimization models or derived from explicit performance
objectives,
Use of optimization models for seasonal water system
operation studies,
Application of the network optimization model HEC-PRM to the
Missouri River system and the Columbia River system,
Flood control optimization studies (Lower American River,
California; Iowa and Des Moines Rivers, Iowa; and theory),
Conflicts among interested parties related to the operation
of large water resource systems (California and the
Truckee-Carson system), and
How computer modeling and data can help structure, clarify,
and resolve conflicts, and the limitations of modeling in these
roles.
The most ambitious of these
projects is the CALVIN project, developing a California-wide
economic-engineering optimization model for water supply and
environmental purposes. This project is in collaboration
with Richard Howitt of the Department of Agricultural and Resource
Economics. It has found numerous applications.
Integrated Urban Water Supply
Planning and Management
Urban water supply planning, in
California, the U.S., and the rest of the world, requires
integrated design and management of often diverse water supplies
(including water transfers and wastewater reuse) and various water
conservation measures. Research in this area has involved:
Integration of household and utility scale decisions with
regional water management decisions in California and
Jordan,
Integrated
planning and operation of water storage and supply systems
with water transfer and demand management measures given
uncertainties in supply system yields,
Comparative economics of water conservation activities, and
Least-cost planning for implementing water conservation.
Water Transfers and Markets
Water transfers or markets have
become a commonly-suggested solution for water problems,
particularly in the western U.S. Recent work in this areas has:
Examined the several roles that water transfers can have in
urban water supplies,
Explored the potential for transferable drought water rations
for urban systems,
Applied optimization modeling for finding the least-cost mix
of various types of water transfers for urban water supplies,
given variability in supply system yields, and
Developed planning methods for integrating various forms of
water transfers with demand management and traditional supplies
for urban water systems.
Reservoirs are a major component
of water management systems. Their operation has substantial
effects on the performance of overall water systems.
Research in this area focuses on the development of operating
rules which are derived to be optimal in terms of operating
objectives and the integration of reservoir operations into the
policy, planning, and operations of integrated water resource
systems:
Economic Design and Evaluation of
Stormwater Quality Management
(Currently inactive in this area)
Non-point sources, such as stormwater, have come to dominate water
quality concerns for the environment. Non-point sources also are
expensive and difficult to manage, monitor, and evaluate in terms
of technical performance. Our work has applied contemporary
methods in cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost analysis to
evaluate the desirability of different stormwater quality control
measures, including both their costs and their likely water
quality benefits. Specific products include:
Review of methods for estimating the economic value of water
quality benefits from stormwater management.
An economic evaluation of the benefits and costs of
stormwater quality management for a major urban creek in the Los
Angeles metropolitan area.
Systems Engineering for Municipal
Solid and Hazardous Waste Management
(Currently inactive in this
area) Municipal solid waste management has become more
complex in recent years with increases in disposal costs and
environmental concerns and legislation. In trying to apply systems
analysis and economic techniques to this engineering problem, we
have:
Examined the potential role of pricing for optimally
depleting existing landfill capacity,
Developed methods for least-cost planning of recycling
measures to extend landfill lifetimes,
Examined the least-cost sizing of modules within landfills,
Applied linear programming to the least-cost preliminary
design of central material recovery facilities (CMRFs),
Developed a spreadsheet-based software package for integrated
solid waste management (GIGO), composed of a
web of modular models of individual solid waste management
operations, and
Developed Economic Risk Analysis for Evaluation of Industrial
Waste Minimization.
Economic and Risk-based Planning of
Dredging and Beach Nourishment Systems
(Currently inactive in this
area) Waterborne commerce relies on effective and
efficient maintenance of ports and waterways. The economic
design of beach nourishment turn out to have similar physical
processes and mathematical forms. Several projects with
various Corps of Engineers offices examined these issues.
2. National Research Council Committee on
Hydrology, Ecology, and Fishes of the Klamath River, Hydrology,
Ecology, and Fishes of the Klamath River Basin,
National Academy Press, Washington, DC, November 2007. (One
of 14 authors)
157.
Knox,
S., J. Tomlinson, J. Harou, P. Meier,
D. Rosenberg, J. Lund, and D. Rheinheimer, An
open-source
data manager for network models, Environmental Modelling and Software, Vol. 122,
Dec. 2019.
154.Nover,
D., M. Dogan, R. Ragatz, L. Booth,
J. Medellin-Azuara, J. Lund, and J. Viers, "Does
More
Storage Give California More Water?" Journal of the American Water Resources Association,
Vol. 55, Issue
3, pp. 759-771, June 2019.
150.Escriva-Bou, A., J. Lund, M.
Pulido-Velazquez, R. Hui, and J. Medellin-Azuara, Saving
energy
from urban water demand management, Water Resources
Research, Vol.
54, Iss. 7, pp. 4265-4276, July 2018.,
149.Lund,
J.R., J. Medellin-Azuara, J. Durand, and K. Stone, "Lessons
from
California's 2012-2016 Drought," J. of Water Resources
Planning and Management, Vol 144, No. 10, October 2018.
138.Zhao,
J., J. Lund, T. Zhao, and H. Wang, Optimal
Hedging
Rule for Reservoir Refill, Journal ofWater Resources Planning
and Management, Vol. 142, Issue 11, November 2016.
134.Escriva-Bou,
A., H. McCann, E. Hanak, J. Lund, and B. Gray, Accounting for
California Water, California
Journal of Politics and Policy, Vol. 8, Iss. 3, 2016
107.Gold, A.J., D. Parker, R.M. Waskom, J. Dobrowolski,
M. ONeill, P.M. Groffman, K. Addy, M. Barber, S. Batie, B.
Benham, M. Bianchi, T. Blewett, C. Evensen, K. Farrell-Poe,
C. Gardner, W. Graham, J. Harrison, T. Harter, J. Kushner,
R. Lowrance, J. Lund, R. Mahler, M. McClaran, M. McFarland,
D. Osmond, J. Pritchett, L. Prokopy, C. Rock, A. Shober, M.
Silitonga, D. Swackhamer, J. Thurston, D. Todey, R. Turco,
G. Vellidis, and L. Wright Morton, Advancing
water resource management in agricultural, rural, and
urbanizing watersheds: Why land-grant universities matter.
Journal of Soil and
Water Conservation. 68(4):337-348, 2013.
105.Medellin-Azuara,
J, T. Rosenstock, R. Howitt, T. Harter, K. Jessoe, K. Dzurella,
S. Pettygrove, and J. Lund, Agro-Economic
Analysis of Nitrate Crop Source Reductions, Journal of Water Resources
Planning and Management, ASCE, Vol. 139, No. 4, July 2013.
102.Howitt,
R.E., J. Medellin-Azuara, D. MacEwan, and J.R. Lund, Calibrating
Disaggregate Economic Models of Agricultural Production and Water
Management, Journal of
Environmental Modeling and Software, Vol. 38, No. 244-258,
December 2012.
82. Hanak, E., J. Lund, A. Dinar, B. Gray,
R. Howitt, J. Mount, P. Moyle, and B. Thompson (2010), Myths of California
Water Implications and Reality, West-Northwest Journal
of Environmental Law and Policy, Vol. 16, No. 1, Winter 2010.
77. Medellνn-Azuara, J., R. Howitt, C.
Waller-Barrera, L.G. Mendoza-Espinosa, J.R. Lund, J.E. Taylor, A
Calibrated Agricultural Demand Model For Three Regions in Northern
Baja California, Agrociencia,
Vol. 16, pp. 83-96, March 2009.
74. Rosenberg,
D.E., S. Talozi, H. Abu Qdais, and J.R. Lund, Intermittent
Water Supplies: Challenges and Opportunities for Residential
Water Users in Jordan, Water
International, Vol. 33, No. 4, pp. 488-504, December,
2008.
70. Madani, K. and J.R. Lund,
Aggregated Modeling Alternatives for Modeling Californias
High-elevation Hydropower with Climate Change in the Absence of
Storage Capacity Data, Hydrological
Science and Technology, Vol. 23, No. 1-4, pp. 137-146,
2007. 69.Medellνn-Azuara,
J., J.R. Lund, and R.E. Howitt, Water Supply
Analysis for Restoring the Colorado River Delta, Mexico," Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, ASCE,
Vol. 133, No. 5, pp. 462-471, September/October 2007.
65. Medellνn-Azuara
J.,
Mendoza-Espinosa
L.
G.,
Lund,
J.
R.
and
Ramνrez-Acosta
R.
J., The application of economic-engineering optimization for
water management in Ensenada, Baja California, Mexico, Water Science & Technology,
Vol. 55, No. 1-2, pp. 339-347, 2007.
64. Medellνn-Azuara, J. and J.R. Lund,
Applying Economic-Engineering Systems Analysis to the Colorado
River Delta, Pacific-McGeorge
Global Business & Development Law Journal, Vol. 19,
No. 1, pp. 99 114, Fall 2006.
52. Jenkins, M.W., J.R. Lund, R.E. Howitt, A.J.
Draper, S.M. Msangi, S.K. Tanaka, R.S. Ritzema, and G.F. Marques,
Optimization of
Californias Water System: Results and Insights , Journal
of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 130, No.
4, July 2004.
49. Draper, A.J.
and J.R. Lund, Optimal
Hedging and Carryover Storage Value, Journal of Water Resources Planning
and Management, Vol. 130, No. 1, January 2004, pp. 83-87.
48. Tanaka, S.K., J.R. Lund, and M.W.
Jenkins, Economic Effects of Increased Exports and Environmental
Flows from the San Francisco Bay-Delta, Journal of the American Water Resources Association,
Vol. 39, No. 6, pp. 1509-1519, December 2003.
42. Kalman, O.,
J.R. Lund, D. Lew, and D.L. Larson, Benefit-Cost Analysis of
Stormwater Quality Improvements, Environmental Management, December 2000.
36. Anex, R.P.,
J.R. Lund, and R. Grant, "A Maximum Entropy Approach to Estimating
Emissions," Journal of the Air
and Waste Management Association, Vol. 49, No. 8, p. 943,
August, 1999.
35. Anex,
R.P.and J.R. Lund, "Bayesian Estimation of Volatile Organic
Emissions from Wood Furniture Coating," Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE,
January, 1999.
32. Anex, R.P.,
R.A. Lawver, J.R. Lund, and G. Tchobanoglous, "GIGO: Spreadsheet
Based Simulation for MSW Systems," Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, Vol.
122, No. 4, pp. 259-263, April, 1996.
31. Lund, J.R.
and R.U. Reed, "Transferable
Rations for Drought Management," Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,
ASCE, Vol. 31, No. 6, pp. 429-437, November, 1995.
28. Lawver, R.A.
and J.R. Lund, "Least-Cost Replacement Planning for Modular
Construction of Landfills,"
Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 121, No.
3, pp. 203-213, March, 1995.
27. Johnston,
R., J.R. Lund, and P. Craig, "Capacity Allocation Methods for
Reducing Traffic Congestion," Journal
of Transportation Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 121, No. 1, pp.
27-39, January-February, 1995.
26. Lund, J.R.
and M. Israel, "Water
Transfers in Water Resource Systems," Journal of Water Resources Planning
and Management, ASCE, Vol. 121, No. 2, pp. 193-205,
March-April, 1995.
24. Lund, J.R.
and P.L. Mokhtarian, "Telecommuting and Residential Location:
Theory and Implications for VMT in the Monocentric Metropolis," Transportation Research Board,
No. 1463, December, 1994.
20. Englehardt,
J.D. and J.R. Lund, "Information Theory in Risk Analysis," Journal of Environmental Engineering,
ASCE, Vol. 118, No. 6, pp. 890-904, November-December, 1992.
19. Andrews,
E.S., F.I. Chung, and J.R. Lund, "Multi-layered, Priority-based
Simulation of Conjunctive Facilities," Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,
ASCE, Vol. 118, No.1, pp. 32-53, January, 1992.
17. Lund, J.R.,
"The Decision to Haul Versus Resuspend for Hopper Dredging," Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal,
and Ocean Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 117, No. 6, pp.
599-609, November, 1991.
16. Lund, J.R.,
"Dredged
Material Disposal Economics," Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean
Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 117, No. 4, pp.390-408, July,
1991.
13. Englehardt,
J.D. and J.R. Lund, "Economic Analysis of Recycling for Small
Municipal Waste Collectors," The
Journal of Resource Management and Technology, Vol. 18,
No. 2, pp. 84-96, October, 1990.
8. Lund, J.R.,
"The Value and Depreciation of Existing Facilities: The Case of
Reservoirs," The Engineering
Economist, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 1-24, Fall, 1989.
3. Lund, J.R.
and R.N. Palmer, "Subjective Evaluation: Linguistic Scales in
Pairwise Comparison Methods," Civil
Engineering Systems, Vol. 3, No. 4, pp. 182-186,
December, 1986.
2. Palmer, R.N.
and J.R. Lund, "Drought and Power Production," Journal of Water Resources Planning
and Management, ASCE, Vol. 112, No.4, pp. 469-484,
October, 1986.
1. Palmer, R.N. and J.R. Lund,
"Multiobjective Evaluation with Subjective Information," Journal of Water Resources Planning
and Management, ASCE, Vol. 111, No. 4, pp. 399-416,
October, 1985.
Chair, Policy Sciences
Committee, Hydrology Section, American Geophysical Union,
1996-1998
Associate Editor, Water
Resources Research , 1990 - 1997
Editorial Advisory Board, Municipal
Solid Waste Management, 1990 - 1996
Control Group of ASCE Water
Resources Systems Committee, 1996 - 2000
National Academy of Sciences,
Young Investigator Program, Water Management in Uzbekistan and
Turkmenistan, 1994 - 1996
Reviewer for: ASCE Journal
of Water Resources Planning and Management, Journal of
Environmental Engineering, Journal of Computing in Civil
Engineering, Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, Journal of
Infrastructure Systems, and Journal of Hydraulics; Canadian
Journal of Civil Engineering, Civil Engineering Systems,
Water Resources Research, Water Resources Bulletin, Water
International, Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics,
Transportation Research Record, Institute of Industrial
Engineers Transactions, Journal of the American Water Works
Association, Journal of Environmental Management, Journal of
Environmental Economics and Management, Management Science
Fandi P. Nurzaman, MS, Irrigation
Management in the Western States, National Planner for
Water Resources and Irrigation, Indonesian Ministry of National
Development Planning, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Daphne
Korthamar, MS, Evaluating Cargill Saltworks Water Supply
Alternatives in Redwood City, CA, engineer, San Francisco
Public Utilities Commission, San Francisco, CA.
Cherry
Zamora, MA Geography, Estimating the Benefits of Forest
Conservation on Pollutant Loading and Water Quality at the
Late Tahoe Basin using GIS, environmental scientist,
Sacramento, CA.
Angela M.
Carmi-Duren, MS Hydrologic Science, A Characterization of
the Non-Analytical Solution of the Downstream Control
Operating Rule in HECResSim, scientist, US Army Corps of
Engineers, Sacramento, CA.
Lisa Maddaus, MS, "Effects of
Metering on Residential Water Demand for Davis, California,"
engineer, Maddaus and Associates, Sacramento, CA.
Karen Sayer Bennett, "Hydraulic
and Hydrologic Analysis for Planning and Development of
Ecosystem Restoration Projects," Project Manager, USAID,
various places around the world.
Cameron T. Ackerman, MS,
"Linking Geographic Information Systems (GIS) with Hydraulic
Modeling using ARC/INFO and HEC-RAS," engineer, Hydrologic
Engineering Center , US Army Corps of Engineers,
Davis, CA.
Jason Needham, MS, "Linear
Programming for Flood Control on the Iowa and Des Moines
Rivers," engineer, Hydrologic
Engineering Center , US Army Corps of Engineers,
Davis, CA.
Anthony P. Pulokas, MS,
"Analysing Risk in a Reservoir System with Applications to
Riparian Vegetation and Maintenance Drawdowns," engineer, Hydrologics, Inc. ,
Portland, OR.
Robert
P. Anex , PhD, "Systems and Economic Analysis of
Municipal Solid and Hazardous Waste Management,"
Professor, Department Department of Biological Systems
Engineering, University of Wisconsin, Madison.
Michael E. Lindquist, MS,
"Estimating Expected Annual Damage Based on Uncertain
Estimators of the Contributing Random Variables," engineer,
City of Davis, Davis, CA.
Paul Hutton, PhD, "A
Mathematical Framework for Predicting THM Formation
Potential and Simulated Distribution System Concentrations
in Drinking Water Sources," Senior Engineer, Metropolitan
Water District of Southern California, Sacramento, CA.
Mark R. Jensen, MS, "WATSUP: A
Simulation Model for Water Supply Costs and Reliability,"
hydraulic engineer, Hydrologic
Engineering Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers,
Davis, CA.
Kenneth W. Kirby, MS,
"Resolving Conflict over Reservoir Operation: A Role for
Optimization and Simulation Modeling," independent
consultant, Davis, CA.
Jeffrey A. Kuypers, MS,
"Compost Modeling for Municipal Waste Management," engineer,
Phase Three Environmental Management, El Dorado Hills, CA.
Kathy Petersen, MS Hydrologic
Science, "An Evaluation of Sedimentation Mitigation at
Hydropower Reservoirs," hydropower manager, South Feather
Water & Power, Oroville, CA.
1993
Michael L. Anderson, MS,
"Stormwater Runoff from the City of Davis as a Water Source
for the Proposed Davis Wetland," Nolte Engineers,
Sacramento, CA..
Inκs C.L. Ferreira, MS,
"Development and Testing of Detailed Operating Rules for the
Missouri River System from Deterministic Optimization
Results," independent consultant, Davis, CA.
Stephen McGoff, MS, "Risk-Based
Analysis for Levee Design," engineer with State of Nevada,
Carson City, NV.
Troy Nicolini, MS,
"Flood-Runoff Analysis for a Basin with some Streamflow
Gages: A Parameter Detective Story," hydrologic engineer
with the National
Weather Service, Eureka , CA.
Laszlo Saska, MS, "MRFSIM: A
Spreadsheet Program for Simulation of Material Recovery
Facilities," environmental engineer, Department of Health
Services, Sacramento, CA.
1992
Doreen Brown Salazar, MS,
"Water, Sanitation, and Disease Transmission," international
development, USAID, Washington, DC..
Jean Takeuchi, MS, "An
Introduction to Low-Flow Hydrology," engineer, San Jose, CA.
1991
James
D. Englehardt , PhD,
"Economic and Risk Analysis of Industrial Hazardous Waste
Reduction," Professor of Civil and Architectural
Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Fla.
Marion W. Jenkins, MS, "
Yolo County, California's Water Supply System: Conjunctive
Use Without Management ," Lecturer, Public Health
Engineering Program, London School of Hygene and Tropical
Medicine, Imperial College - London; Associate Research
Engineer (Professional Researcher), Department of Civil and
Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis.
1990
James O. Anderson, MS,
"Climate Change Impacts on Snowmelt Runoff," environmental
engineer with UNOCAL, Arroyo Grande, CA.
Robert U. Reed, MS/MBA,
"Transferable Allocations in Urban Water Management: Short
and Long Term," owner, Reed Consulting Group, Sacramento,
CA.
Maureen E. Sergent, MS, "Water
Transfers: The Potential for Managing California's Limited
Water Resources," engineer with State Drought Water Bank,
California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA.
1989
Elizabeth S. Andrews, MS,
"Simulation of Kern County, California's Conveyance System,
Including Groundwater Recharge," Program Manager,
ESA-PWA, San Francisco, CA.
Christopher S. Enright, MS,
"Alternative Water District Organization and Efficient Water
Allocation: Water Pricing and Water Transfer Policies,"
Senior Engineer, Science Program, Delta Stewardship Council,
Sacramento, CA.
